When you search for flights, we analyze data for your specific route and travel dates and provide a short-term outlook on potential price movement. Based on this outlook, you’ll see a simple recommendation: buy now or wait. We also display a confidence score from 1 to 100 that reflects how strongly the available signals support the forecast from today. A higher score means the signals are more consistent.

Our forecast is based on statistical analysis of the factors that most often influence airfare changes. This includes days until departure, the current price level compared to the typical range for the route, seasonal and calendar patterns, and market signals tied to demand and availability. We also use historical route behavior to identify recurring pricing patterns. Together, these inputs help estimate the most likely direction of price in the near term and support a more informed decision.

We regularly review how our forecasts compare with actual price changes after a prediction is generated. We evaluate performance by comparing the predicted direction with real market movement and by tracking how the buy/wait recommendation played out over time. At the same time, any prediction based on historical data can be wrong, so we don’t guarantee that the forecast will be correct or that prices will move as expected. The confidence score helps put each forecast in context. It indicates how aligned the underlying signals are for the specific route and dates you’re checking.